OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 呼吁领先的 AI 科技公司有意放缓开发速度,以便安全和监控措施能够跟上。

Altman 周日在 X 上发表一系列帖子称,鉴于今年开发速度不断加快,世界有权相信美国的 AI 开发者正在负责任地行事。

Altman 表示:“每一家前沿实验室都必须兑现这一点;如果我们做不到,就没有理由继续来上班。”

Altman 最新的评论紧随并呼应了Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 放缓 AI 开发速度的提议。Google DeepMind 的 Demis Hassabis 和 SpaceXAI 的 Elon Musk 也表示支持这一方向。

Frontier Model Releases per Month by Lab

Frontier Model Releases per Month by Lab

  • OpenAI
  • Google
  • Anthropic
  • xAI
  • Meta AI
  • NVIDIA
  • Z.ai
  • Other
As of 2026-07-31, OpenAI records 0 models.3210Jan '23Jan '24Jan '25Jul '26{"f":[360,150,40,8],"s":[["OpenAI","#10a37f"],["Google","#4285f4"],["Anthropic","#d97757"],["xAI","#111111"],["Meta AI","#0866ff"],["NVIDIA","#76b900"],["Z.ai","#7c3aed"],["Other","#94a3b8"]],"p":[["2023-01-31T00:00:00.000Z","Jan '23",43.63,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2023-02-28T00:00:00.000Z","Feb '23",50.88,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2023-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","Mar '23",58.14,[[0,"1 models",109,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 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models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","Apr '26",326.6,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","May '26",333.86,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","Jun '26",341.12,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"],["2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","Jul '26",348.37,[[0,"0 models",128,null],[1,"0 models",128,null],[2,"0 models",128,null],[3,"0 models",128,null],[4,"0 models",128,null],[5,"0 models",128,null],[6,"0 models",128,null],[7,"0 models",128,null]],"0 models"]]}OpenAI: 0 on Jul '26. Google: 0 on Jul '26. Anthropic: 0 on Jul '26. xAI: 0 on Jul '26. Meta AI: 0 on Jul '26. NVIDIA: 0 on Jul '26. Z.ai: 0 on Jul '26. Other: 0 on Jul '26
SOURCE: Epoch AI — Frontier AI Models

“非常糟糕”的情景

最近发生的两起事件引发了人们对 AI 开发的重大担忧,尤其是 AI 模型的递归式自我改进——这可能使它们的行为超出人类控制。

其中一起事件是 OpenAI 的智能体逃出测试环境并入侵 Hugging Face 的基础设施以实现其目标。另一起事件是 Anthropic 预训练研究员Jacob Coxon 宣布辞职。他上周警告称,AI 超级智能可能导致人类在 2030 年灭亡。

Altman 本人列出了 AI 进展可能“非常糟糕”的两种情况,必须加以避免。

Altman 写道:“第一,我们可能会将未来的控制权拱手让给 AI。这是不可接受的;我们毫不掩饰地站在人类一边,而 AI 必须始终服务于人类。”

Altman 表示,为确保这一点,对齐和安全技术的发展速度必须超过模型能力。Altman 认为,第二个危险是权力过度集中的世界——一个人或组织掌控某种极其强大的力量,并将其世界观强加给人类,可能会让世界走向反乌托邦。

风险框架

这位 OpenAI CEO 表示欢迎建立联邦层面的 AI 安全框架,但他指出,各公司应提前采取行动,开始赢得公众信任。

Altman 写道:“在 OpenAI,我们现在会在开展预计将显著提升能力的前沿强化学习训练之前,预先制定明确的安全论证。我们希望其他公司能从我们的方法中学习,并提出自己的方案;我们认为,针对失配、监控和安全性的共享标准将带来更好的结果。”

Altman 补充说,让 AI 开发“循序渐进”并不意味着“停止”进步,只是意味着各公司应采取更缓慢的方式,将安全和监控置于优先位置。

Altman 表示:“放慢步调将非常值得付出这一代价;任何程度的美国竞争压力都不应成为鲁莽行事的理由,也不应让能力发展超越对齐和监控。”